| Publisher | Answers citing it | Answer penetration |
|---|
| cnbc.com | 153/288 | 53.1% |
| forbes.com | 143/288 | 49.7% |
| creditkarma.com | 98/288 | 34% |
| shopify.com | 85/288 | 29.5% |
| theretailexec.com | 82/288 | 28.5% |
| firstcard.app | 77/288 | 26.7% |
| lendedu.com | 67/288 | 23.3% |
| moneylion.com | 65/288 | 22.6% |
| bizfortune.com | 61/288 | 21.2% |
| provesrc.com | 60/288 | 20.8% |
| earnin.com | 58/288 | 20.1% |
| miamiherald.com | 57/288 | 19.8% |
CNBC was cited in 153 answers, or 53.1% of answers with retrieval evidence. Forbes appeared in 143 answers, or 49.7%. Credit Karma appeared in 98 answers, or 34.0%. Shopify appeared in 85 answers, or 29.5%, and The Retail Exec appeared in 82 answers, or 28.5%. The source list includes 14 publisher receipts that could not be resolved to a publisher domain.
Who is winning and who is at risk?
Winning group
Affirm and Klarna are in the winning group because they hold the top two appearance rates, 69.8% and 68.4%, and each appeared across all four engines. Both had an average first mention of position 3.2. Their intervals overlap, so the data does not establish a winner between them.
PayPal, Inc. is also in the winning group for its 16.3% owned-domain citation rate, its 59.7% appearance rate, and its 3.5 average first mention position. Sezzle qualifies on its 60.8% appearance rate across all four engines, although its 6.0 average first mention position is later than the leaders.
At-risk group
Shop Pay Installments is at risk in this sample because it appeared in 23.3% of returned answers and had a 0.0% owned-domain citation rate. Its rate varied from 56.9% in Perplexity to 1.4% in Claude.
Perpay is at risk because it appeared in 16.0% of returned answers, its average first mention was position 9.3, and its owned-domain citation rate was 0.0%. Cash App appeared in 13.2%, had a 0.3% owned-domain citation rate, and did not appear in any Claude answer. Upgrade appeared in 7.3%, had 0.0% repeat consistency, and did not appear in ChatGPT or Claude answers.
What does the tally say about this category?
The tally has a concentrated leading group, but it does not support a firm first-place claim among the top five. Affirm's 64.3% to 74.8% interval overlaps Klarna's 62.8% to 73.5%, Sezzle's 55.0% to 66.2%, PayPal, Inc.'s 54.0% to 65.2%, and Zip's 50.1% to 61.5%.
Engine divergence is the dominant structural pattern. Perplexity and ChatGPT placed Affirm, Klarna, Sezzle, Zip, and Afterpay in high shares of their 72 answers. Claude named Zip in 5.6%, Splitit Ltd. in 0.0%, Cash App in 0.0%, and several lower-ranked brands in 0.0%.
Citations are also publisher-led. CNBC, Forbes, and Credit Karma each appeared as cited sources in more answers than any eligible brand's owned-domain citation count. Shopify Inc. is a notable exception: its 30.9% owned-domain citation rate is the highest recorded, despite a 6.6% appearance rate. This pattern separates brand naming from source citation.
What changed during this measurement window?
This study contains one measurement window, so it cannot identify changes over time. It records cross-engine divergence, publisher concentration, and ownership attribution within the measured runs, not category movement between dates.
What should BNPL brands change and re-measure?
- Build cited pages for product facts and terms where owned-domain citation is 0.0%, as measured for Shop Pay Installments, Perpay, Bread, Block, Inc., and Uplift. Re-measure owned-domain citation rates across answers with retrieval evidence.
- Audit Claude-specific coverage for Zip, Splitit Ltd., Cash App, Upgrade, and Plan It by American Express. Claude named Zip in 5.6%, Splitit Ltd. in 0.0%, Cash App in 0.0%, Upgrade in 0.0%, and Plan It by American Express in 0.0% of its 72 answers. Re-measure each engine separately after publishing clarifying pages.
- Improve pages that state the exact product and company relationship when ownership names split the tally. The measurement rolled up names such as PayPal Pay in 4 under PayPal, Inc. and Cash App Afterpay under Cash App. Re-measure whether the canonical brand name appears earlier in answers.
- Test content built for narrow needs when a brand appears late. Perpay's average first mention was position 9.3, Upgrade's was 9.7, and Uplift's was 9.9. Re-measure average first mention position within the same prompt clusters.
- Compare external publisher coverage with owned pages when source citations outweigh brand citations. CNBC appeared in 53.1% of retrieved answers and Forbes in 49.7%. Re-measure the source mix after securing accurate, durable publisher references.
- Check repeat consistency before treating one favorable answer as a stable result. Upgrade had 0.0% repeat consistency, while Affirm had 64.2% and Sezzle had 66.7%. Re-measure each prompt across repeat trials.
What does this mean for brands in the category?
Interpretation: a high appearance rate does not guarantee that a brand's own site supplies the evidence. Affirm and Klarna lead broad appearance, while Shopify Inc. leads owned-domain citation. The two measures answer different questions.
Interpretation: engine-specific gaps require separate tracking. A brand can be common in Perplexity or ChatGPT and scarce in Claude within the same measured prompt set. Category teams need to inspect the individual engine pattern before changing content or making a selection decision about where to invest.
How was this BNPL visibility measured?
This flagship study tested 24 stratified prompts three times across Perplexity (sonar-pro), ChatGPT (OpenAI), Gemini (Google), and Claude (Anthropic). That produced 288 attempted and 288 returned answers. All 288 answers had retrieval evidence.
How this study was measured
- Sampling frame fixed first: 24 prompts allocated across the demand clusters before anything was asked.
- Same questions put to every engine: Perplexity (sonar-pro), ChatGPT (OpenAI), Gemini (Google), Claude (Anthropic), 3 trial(s) each.
- 288 answers returned of 288 attempted, 288 with retrieval evidence.
- Product lines rolled up to parent brands using a registry fixed before scoring.
- Appearance rate reported with a 95% Wilson interval; citation metrics counted only on answers with evidence.
Appearance rates use returned answers. Citation and source rates use answers with retrieval evidence. The study measures these prompts on September 14, 2026. It does not measure all searches, consumer demand, business performance, or movement over time.